Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-01 1064.276916 1198.589571 1344.854167 1516.207584 1711.762325 1928.337609 2186.859316
2026-02-08 856.389816 1038.696912 1253.894672 1527.727018 1868.418075 2280.291579 2818.893373
2026-02-15 742.491641 946.530930 1200.863089 1543.323363 1995.657446 2577.164563 3388.575472
2026-02-22 667.526133 886.009814 1170.693455 1572.259473 2129.630471 2883.999112 3996.034139
2026-03-01 587.851737 806.790100 1102.782442 1536.887277 2165.194091 3053.638448 4426.588629
2026-03-08 519.543440 734.024997 1033.447564 1487.828568 2170.221632 3173.396375 4790.499755
2026-03-15 463.610607 672.200051 971.892982 1440.894158 2169.226837 3278.592287 5137.625587
2026-03-22 440.060490 654.596385 971.737396 1483.484880 2305.295433 3602.563868 5863.740208
2026-03-29 413.770580 629.973128 957.979508 1502.323613 2403.887817 3874.914751 6534.791803
2026-04-05 389.076111 605.298672 941.349360 1513.866921 2489.992752 4133.212273 7209.892280
2026-04-12 367.071127 582.768823 925.715327 1524.671421 2574.428111 4395.152472 7920.449957
2026-04-19 352.120280 570.224054 924.805538 1559.394151 2702.322053 4744.281359 8832.610284
2026-04-26 334.879781 553.002370 915.501315 1580.171640 2810.224711 5074.043299 9762.114949
2026-05-03 317.276013 533.793273 901.276567 1590.955899 2901.169320 5382.911389 10694.217402
2026-05-10 302.265584 517.740371 890.946797 1607.324909 3003.350527 5722.973767 11734.546553
2026-05-17 290.676755 506.715262 888.423746 1637.575698 3134.726462 6133.983877 12981.452832
2026-05-24 270.439672 478.540472 852.521387 1600.592984 3128.308908 6263.471042 13624.755774
2026-05-31 250.098859 448.692928 811.232077 1549.306362 3087.265429 6315.278415 14096.564585
2026-06-07 231.818613 421.413394 772.759543 1500.247208 3045.831445 6361.181626 14559.726727
2026-06-14 226.568297 418.372322 780.225471 1544.765756 3207.286347 6868.081885 16204.961105
2026-06-21 218.681422 409.665872 775.955209 1564.458937 3316.473134 7269.562548 17647.863689
2026-06-28 210.464690 399.721328 768.448232 1576.526319 3409.641887 7644.189586 19077.693777
2026-07-05 202.706991 390.142013 760.935403 1587.821704 3501.981162 8026.960640 20587.137594